Truist Championship Preview
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Our articles will follow a simple, yet effective structure that will give you everything you need to be successful in the Daily Fantasy and Betting Space for the upcoming tournament
Course Description
Weather
Custom Model
Ownership
DFS Picks
Betting Picks
Truist Championship
Philadelphia Cricket Club
Course Description
The 2025 Truist Championship will be held at The Philadelphia Cricket Club's Wissahickon Course in Flourtown, Pennsylvania. This marks a significant venue change from its traditional home at Quail Hollow Club in North Carolina.
Tournament Status & Purse:
Designated as a PGA TOUR Signature Event
Total purse: $20 million
Winner's share: $3.6 million
700 FedExCup points awarded to the winner
Field:
Limited field of 72 golfers featuring the Tour's best players
This is a no-cut event, so every golfer will play 72 holes from Thursday to Sunday (barring a withdrawal)
Defending champion Rory McIlroy, currently World No. 2, headlines the field
The tournament will be contested at the historic Wissahickon Course at Philadelphia Cricket Club, marking a new chapter in the event's history.
Philadelphia Country Club plays as a Par 70 at 7,119 yards. It features just two Par 5s, four Par 3s and twelve Par 4s
Weather
With the release of the tee times, everyone is going out between 11 AM and 1 PM EST. That is going to make it very tough to peg a weather edge in general. There is a lot of rain in the forecast for late Thursday and most of Friday, so we could see some delays. All in all, the wind is going to be consistent from mid-day Friday all the way to early Sunday, so nothing really stands out in terms of there being an edge. You can always do pocket wave stacks just incase there is a discrepancy, but nothing really screams “there is an edge”.
Custom Model
My Model features SG:T2G, wSG:TOT, Bogey Avoidance, Driving Distance, GIR%, Sand Saves, Scrambling, SG:PUTT Bentgrass and SG:Short Courses. If you are long enough to clear a lot of the fairway bunkering, it will remove a lot of trouble off of the tee so this is a Distance over Accuracy week for me. Being a Par 70, bogeys can and will hurt you and there aren’t a ton of places to pick up birdies so this is also a Bogey Avoidance over Birdie or Better week. Given the amount of bunkers in general, I think you will have to be able to scramble a good bit and once you find your way to the green, we have Bentgrass surfaces so you will need to be proficient on that grass type to find success.
Alex Noren might grade very well in the model, but he has been out since October 2024 with a number of injuries.
Ownership and Picks
High Ownership Options (By Price Range):
$10,000+
a) Rory McIlroy ($12,000)
b) Xander Schauffele ($10,200)
$9,000
a) Jordan Spieth ($9,200)
b) Patrick Cantlay ($9,500)
$8,000
a) Hideki Matsuyama ($8,900)
b) Daniel Berger ($8,600)
$7,000
a) Wyndham Clark ($7,900)
b) Justin Rose ($7,600)
$6,000
a) Tom Hoge ($6,700)
b) Lucas Glover ($6,600)
Favorite Golfers:
Justin Thomas ($10,000): He is coming in off of his first win in over 1,000 days and the ownership just isn’t there. Maybe I am seeing something that others aren’t, but he is top 10 in this field in SG:T2G, SG:TOT, Driving Distance, Bogey Avoidance, Sand Saves and Scrambling which are all very important stats this week. The only thing holding him back is his ability to putt well on Bentgrass, but putting isn’t really a predictive stat and everyone is going to have similar long putts this week. I will say that I am a big fan of everyone in the $10,000 range so it was tough to really choose one here. I just think that if Rory is going to be north of 40% owned and Xander closing in on 30% that JT should atleast be up there with Xander. However he is predicting to be under 20% and actually the lowest of that range so sign me up.
Tommy Fleetwood ($9,300): If there was ever to be a week for Tommy to pull through and win on the PGA Tour, I truly think it is this one. For starters, there is no Scottie and I would say 90% of the fields that Tommy is going to play in, Scheffler will be there. He ranks in the top half in this field for all 10 categories I am modelling for and is top 15 in all but 3. Those 3 are the ones that I am least worried about in Driving Distance, SG:Bentgrass and SG:Short Courses. Nonetheless, he is still a positive putter on Bentgrass so nothing to worry about there and I only put 5% on the Short Course category so it doesn’t hold much weight. He gains across the bag almost every week and is coming off of a top 10 at the Heritage. I think this is his week to shine.
Robert MacIntyre ($8,000): He is projected to be the lowest owned golfer in the $8,000 range and I kind of get it. He is coming off of some poor finishes as of late, but we are just a little over a month removed from his top 10 at the Players which is a much deeper and stronger field as well as a T11 at the API. He models incredibly well for me outside of Sand Saves which isn’t exactly a predictive stat anyways. If he can just get back to the approach play he had just a month ago where he gained in that category in 10 of 13 events, then I think there is a chance he can contend. I really like him as a bounce back candidate that will instantly make your lineups unique and in this small of a field that will be necessary.
Davis Thompson ($7,700): I do want to kick this off by saying that at the moment there isn’t a single golfer projected for over 10% ownership in the $7,000 range which is crazy to me. That being said, I really like Davis Thompson who has quietly been having a great season. He has consistently been gaining on approach which is great to see, he is top 10 in this field in SG:T2G which is impressive considering the pedigree we are talking about. I think my favorite part is he is 5th in the field in Greens in Regulation which on a Par 70 is crucial. It will all come down to can he putt which isn’t always his strong suit, but when he does, like at the Players (T10), he can really push for a strong finish. This very well could be his shining moment in a strong field, elevated event we have been looking for out of him.
Max Homa ($6,500): I am going to go out on a massive limb here and say that this is the week that Homa turns it around. Yes he has been atrocious. However, after a long string of weeks just hitting awful on approach, he has finally had back to back positive performances. The rest of his game has been inconsistent, but the real troubles were with his irons and if that is starting to come back then I think we could see the bounce back. With that part of his game returning, having solid Sand Save metrics which will be important and being a positive putting on Bentgrass over his last 36 rounds, I think he can really turn heads in a good way this week. This could be a massive flop of a pick, but I know we will see the good Homa return and I think this could be the week it happens.
Best Bets
All bets are based on odds from Draftkings Sportsbook
R1 Nick Taylor OVER 69.5 strokes (-130): This course doesn’t offer a ton of birdie opportunities and the ones it does you really have to be long off of the tee. He is bottom 5 in this field in Driving Distance and where his usually landing distance is we have a ton of sand trap coverage. He very well could find a couple off of the tee and to top it off he is bottom 20 in this field in sand saves. I think he is a guy that fails to break par in R1 given he just hasn’t been striking it that well lately.
Tommy Fleetwood Top 20 (-105): Getting even money on Fleetwood in a Scottie-less field when he is almost a lock for top 20 most weeks feels criminal. He fits this course extremely well and since the Olympics has finished top 20 in 12 of 18 events with a good amount of those being full field events. I will take my chances with Tommy this week and have the urge to outright bet him as well. This could very well be his week.
